Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Second Phase clash between San Lorenzo and Colon.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colon win with a probability of 35.83%. A win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 35.32% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colon win was 0-1 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.5%) and 0-2 (6.74%). The likeliest San Lorenzo win was 1-0 (11.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Colon would win this match.
