We said: Real Betis 2-1 Ludogorets Razgrad
Ludogorets should not be underestimated after their win over Roma, but as favourites, Real Betis will still fancy their chances of claiming all three points.
The hosts have an impressive home record at the group stages and we can see them coming away from Thursday's fixture with a slender victory.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Betis win with a probability of 62.88%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Ludogorets Razgrad had a probability of 14.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Betis win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.88%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.47%), while for a Ludogorets Razgrad win it was 0-1 (5.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Betis would win this match.
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