Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FK Zalgiris win with a probability of 47.04%. A win for Ludogorets Razgrad had a probability of 27.13% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a FK Zalgiris win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 2-0 (8.58%). The likeliest Ludogorets Razgrad win was 0-1 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%).
-0.34) 
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