Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Lanus and Boca Juniors.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Barracas Central 2-0 Lanus
Friday, September 9 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Friday, September 9 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 17 | San Lorenzo | 14 | -2 | 15 |
| 18 | Lanus | 13 | -1 | 14 |
| 19 | Arsenal Sarandi | 12 | 0 | 13 |
Last Game: Boca Juniors 1-0 River Plate
Sunday, September 11 at 9pm in Argentine Primera Division
Sunday, September 11 at 9pm in Argentine Primera Division
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | River Plate | 13 | 18 | 26 |
| 4 | Boca Juniors | 13 | 6 | 24 |
| 5 | Defensa y Justicia | 12 | 7 | 22 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 39.33%. A win for Lanus had a probability of 31.61% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.84%) and 0-2 (7.68%). The likeliest Lanus win was 1-0 (11.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Boca Juniors in this match.
| Result | ||
| Lanus | Draw | Boca Juniors |
31.61% ( -0.25) | 29.06% ( 0.18) | 39.33% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 44.19% ( -0.56) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
