Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentinos Juniors win with a probability of 36.37%. A win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 34.59% and a draw had a probability of 29%.

The most likely scoreline for an Argentinos Juniors win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.52%) and 0-2 (6.91%). The likeliest Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 (11.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.