Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rionegro win with a probability of 50.17%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Santa Fe had a probability of 23.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rionegro win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.85%) and 2-1 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.32%), while for a Santa Fe win it was 0-1 (8.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.