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Fluminense
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 13, 2021 at 1am UK
Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho (Maracanã) (Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro)
Fluminense
2 - 1
Santa Fe
Fred (60'), Paulista (77')
Claro (56'), Braz (64')
FT(HT: 0-0)
David Gonzalez Nino (58')
Moralez Rocha (62')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa Libertadores clash between Fluminense and Santa Fe, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 53.46%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Santa Fe had a probability of 18.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.17%) and 2-1 (8.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.29%), while for a Santa Fe win it was 0-1 (8.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fluminense would win this match.

Result
FluminenseDrawSanta Fe
53.46%28.22%18.32%
Both teams to score 35.99%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
32.81%67.19%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
14.6%85.39%
Fluminense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.16%25.84%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.19%60.81%
Santa Fe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.53%51.46%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.35%85.65%
Score Analysis
    Fluminense 53.44%
    Santa Fe 18.32%
    Draw 28.21%
FluminenseDrawSanta Fe
1-0 @ 17.99%
2-0 @ 12.17%
2-1 @ 8.09%
3-0 @ 5.49%
3-1 @ 3.65%
4-0 @ 1.86%
4-1 @ 1.23%
3-2 @ 1.21%
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 53.44%
0-0 @ 13.29%
1-1 @ 11.95%
2-2 @ 2.69%
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 28.21%
0-1 @ 8.83%
1-2 @ 3.97%
0-2 @ 2.93%
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 18.32%

How you voted: Fluminense vs Santa Fe

Fluminense
80.0%
Draw
20.0%
Santa Fe
0.0%
5
Head to Head
Apr 29, 2021 1am
Group Stage
Santa Fe
1-2
Fluminense
Giraldo (51')
Luis Ramos Sanchez (37'), Giraldo (79')
Fred (5', 46')
Egidio (56'), Bobadilla (90+5')
Egidio (70')
Content continues below the video

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