Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Henan Jianye win with a probability of 42.4%. A win for Dalian Yifang had a probability of 33.03% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Henan Jianye win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Dalian Yifang win was 1-2 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.