We said: Union SG 2-1 Gent
Gent have struggled to match the heights of their home form on their travels this term, and away trips do not come more difficult than playing a Union SG side who have won four of their last five home games.
Although it may be close, we think that the league leaders will have enough quality to edge out their opponents on Sunday.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gent win with a probability of 52.52%. A win for Union SG had a probability of 24.92% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gent win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.44%) and 0-2 (7.9%). The likeliest Union SG win was 2-1 (6.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
