

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Macarthur win with a probability of 52.32%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 27.39% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Macarthur win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.45%) and 2-0 (5.47%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 1-2 (6.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Macarthur | Draw | Newcastle Jets | 
| 52.32% (  5.94) | 20.29% (  -0.95) | 27.39% (  -4.99) | 
| Both teams to score 70.95% (  0.16) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 73.32% (  1.54) | 26.67% (  -1.54) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 52.92% (  1.93) | 47.07% (  -1.94) | 
| Macarthur Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 89.21% (  2.27) | 10.78% (  -2.27) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 65.19% (  4.83) | 34.8% (  -4.84) | 
| Newcastle Jets Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 79.52% (  -1.9) | 20.47% (  1.9) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 47.06% (  -3.1) | 52.93% (  3.1) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Macarthur | Draw | Newcastle Jets | 
| 2-1 @ 8.68% (  0.22) 3-1 @ 6.45% (  0.71) 2-0 @ 5.47% (  0.45) 3-2 @ 5.11% (  0.28) 1-0 @ 4.92% (  -0.02) 3-0 @ 4.06% (  0.65) 4-1 @ 3.59% (  0.67) 4-2 @ 2.85% (  0.39) 4-0 @ 2.26% (  0.53) 5-1 @ 1.6% (  0.41) 4-3 @ 1.51% (  0.12) 5-2 @ 1.27% (  0.27) 5-0 @ 1.01% (  0.3) Other @ 3.55% Total : 52.32% | 1-1 @ 7.8% (  -0.51) 2-2 @ 6.89% (  -0.24) 3-3 @ 2.7% (  -0.01) 0-0 @ 2.21% (  -0.22) Other @ 0.69% Total : 20.29% | 1-2 @ 6.19% (  -0.81) 2-3 @ 3.64% (  -0.36) 0-1 @ 3.5% (  -0.58) 1-3 @ 3.27% (  -0.66) 0-2 @ 2.78% (  -0.66) 0-3 @ 1.47% (  -0.46) 2-4 @ 1.44% (  -0.24) 1-4 @ 1.3% (  -0.36) 3-4 @ 1.07% (  -0.07) Other @ 2.73% Total : 27.39% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Auckland FC | 20 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 39 | 20 | 19 | 42 | 
| 2 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 46 | 30 | 16 | 38 | 
| 3 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 47 | 34 | 13 | 34 | 
| 4 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 34 | 
| 5 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 33 | 
| 6 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 43 | 40 | 3 | 33 | 
| 7 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 42 | 31 | 11 | 30 | 
| 8 | Macarthur | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 41 | 37 | 4 | 29 | 
| 9 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 33 | 37 | -4 | 26 | 
| 10 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 21 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 23 | 39 | -16 | 22 | 
| 11 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 31 | -12 | 20 | 
| 12 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 19 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 23 | 38 | -15 | 11 | 
| 13 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 21 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 14 | 48 | -34 | 11 | 
| > Australian A-League Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
