Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SV Darmstadt 98 win with a probability of 38.49%. A win for Heidenheim had a probability of 35.52% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a SV Darmstadt 98 win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (6.48%). The likeliest Heidenheim win was 0-1 (9.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SV Darmstadt 98 would win this match.
