Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 62.03%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Metalist Kharkiv had a probability of 16.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.24%) and 1-2 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.22%), while for a Metalist Kharkiv win it was 1-0 (5.3%).
