Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 54.7%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 23.45% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.13%) and 0-2 (7.99%). The likeliest Bologna win was 2-1 (6.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for AC Milan in this match.
