Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 64.34%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Bologna had a probability of 16.45%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.43%) and 1-0 (8.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.79%), while for a Bologna win it was 1-2 (4.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.
Result | ||
AC Milan | Draw | Bologna |
64.34% | 19.21% | 16.45% |
Both teams to score 57.8% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.6% | 36.39% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.47% | 58.53% |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.31% | 10.69% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
65.4% | 34.6% |
Bologna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.73% | 35.27% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.97% | 72.03% |
Score Analysis |
AC Milan | Draw | Bologna |
2-1 @ 9.82% 2-0 @ 9.43% 1-0 @ 8.43% 3-1 @ 7.32% 3-0 @ 7.03% 4-1 @ 4.09% 4-0 @ 3.93% 3-2 @ 3.81% 4-2 @ 2.13% 5-1 @ 1.83% 5-0 @ 1.76% 5-2 @ 0.95% Other @ 3.81% Total : 64.34% | 1-1 @ 8.79% 2-2 @ 5.12% 0-0 @ 3.77% 3-3 @ 1.33% Other @ 0.21% Total : 19.21% | 1-2 @ 4.58% 0-1 @ 3.93% 0-2 @ 2.05% 2-3 @ 1.78% 1-3 @ 1.59% Other @ 2.52% Total : 16.45% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 30 | 24 | 3 | 3 | 66 | 21 | 45 | 75 |
2 | Lazio | 30 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 49 | 20 | 29 | 61 |
3 | Roma | 29 | 16 | 5 | 8 | 39 | 26 | 13 | 53 |
4 | AC Milan | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 49 | 37 | 12 | 53 |
5 | Inter Milan | 30 | 16 | 3 | 11 | 48 | 34 | 14 | 51 |
6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 47 | 34 | 13 | 48 |
7 | Juventus | 29 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 47 | 24 | 23 | 44 |
8 | Bologna | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 39 | 37 | 2 | 44 |
9 | Fiorentina | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 34 | 32 | 2 | 41 |
10 | Udinese | 29 | 9 | 12 | 8 | 39 | 36 | 3 | 39 |
11 | Torino | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 38 |
12 | Monza | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 38 |
13 | SassuoloSassuolo | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 37 | 43 | -6 | 37 |
14 | Empoli | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 25 | 37 | -12 | 32 |
15 | Salernitana | 29 | 6 | 11 | 12 | 33 | 49 | -16 | 29 |
16 | Lecce | 29 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 27 |
17 | SpeziaSpezia | 30 | 5 | 11 | 14 | 25 | 48 | -23 | 26 |
18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 24 | 43 | -19 | 23 |
19 | Cremonese | 30 | 3 | 10 | 17 | 27 | 54 | -27 | 19 |
20 | Sampdoria | 29 | 3 | 6 | 20 | 18 | 50 | -32 | 15 |
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