Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cartagena win with a probability of 42.08%. A win for Real Zaragoza had a probability of 30.81% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cartagena win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.61%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest Real Zaragoza win was 0-1 (9.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cartagena in this match.