Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 59.7%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for St Johnstone had a probability of 18.24%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.56%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.48%), while for a St Johnstone win it was 0-1 (5.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aberdeen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aberdeen | Draw | St Johnstone |
| 59.7% ( | 22.07% ( | 18.24% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.65% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.71% ( | 46.29% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.42% ( | 68.58% ( |
| Aberdeen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.89% ( | 15.11% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 56.33% ( | 43.66% ( |
| St Johnstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.84% ( | 39.16% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 24.13% ( | 75.87% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Aberdeen | Draw | St Johnstone |
| 1-0 @ 11.18% ( 2-0 @ 10.56% ( 2-1 @ 9.91% ( 3-0 @ 6.66% ( 3-1 @ 6.24% 4-0 @ 3.15% ( 4-1 @ 2.95% 3-2 @ 2.93% ( 4-2 @ 1.38% ( 5-0 @ 1.19% ( 5-1 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.44% Total : 59.69% | 1-1 @ 10.48% 0-0 @ 5.92% ( 2-2 @ 4.64% ( 3-3 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.06% | 0-1 @ 5.55% ( 1-2 @ 4.92% ( 0-2 @ 2.6% ( 1-3 @ 1.54% ( 2-3 @ 1.45% ( Other @ 2.19% Total : 18.24% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Celtic | 33 | 30 | 2 | 1 | 103 | 25 | 78 | 92 |
| 2 | RangersRangers | 33 | 25 | 4 | 4 | 81 | 34 | 47 | 79 |
| 3 | Aberdeen | 33 | 17 | 2 | 14 | 52 | 52 | 0 | 53 |
| 4 | Hearts | 33 | 14 | 6 | 13 | 56 | 49 | 7 | 48 |
| 5 | Hibernian | 33 | 13 | 5 | 15 | 49 | 52 | -3 | 44 |
| 6 | St Mirren | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 44 |
| 7 | Livingston | 33 | 12 | 6 | 15 | 33 | 52 | -19 | 42 |
| 8 | Motherwell | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 37 |
| 9 | St Johnstone | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 33 |
| 10 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 36 | 58 | -22 | 31 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 29 | 58 | -29 | 31 |
| 12 | Ross County | 33 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 28 | 52 | -24 | 27 |
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