Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamilton Academical win with a probability of 39.29%. A win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 34.07% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hamilton Academical win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 0-1 (9.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hamilton Academical would win this match.