Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 57.43%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Arbroath had a probability of 19.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.9%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.16%), while for an Arbroath win it was 0-1 (6.42%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dunfermline Athletic would win this match.