Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sochi win with a probability of 57.92%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Khimki had a probability of 19.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sochi win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.69%), while for a Khimki win it was 0-1 (5.78%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sochi would win this match.