Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sochi win with a probability of 42.65%. A win for Khimki had a probability of 30.5% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sochi win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest Khimki win was 0-1 (9.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.
