Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 45.74%. A win for Khimki had a probability of 28.4% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.14%) and 0-2 (8.2%). The likeliest Khimki win was 1-0 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CSKA Moscow would win this match.
