Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 44.12%. A win for Lokomotiv Moscow had a probability of 29.8% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.98%) and 0-2 (7.87%). The likeliest Lokomotiv Moscow win was 1-0 (8.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
