Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Moscow win with a probability of 38.99%. A win for Spartak Moscow had a probability of 34.96% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (6.61%). The likeliest Spartak Moscow win was 0-1 (9.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
