Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 38.45%. A win for Dynamo Moscow had a probability of 34.68% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest Dynamo Moscow win was 0-1 (9.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
