Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Moscow win with a probability of 47.33%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Nizhny Novgorod had a probability of 25.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.39%) and 2-1 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.71%), while for a Nizhny Novgorod win it was 0-1 (9.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
