Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Moscow win with a probability of 39.67%. A win for Lokomotiv Moscow had a probability of 33.34% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest Lokomotiv Moscow win was 0-1 (9.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.