Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton Under-21s win with a probability of 43.22%. A win for Crystal Palace Under-21s had a probability of 34.82% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Everton Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.34%) and 1-3 (5.31%). The likeliest Crystal Palace Under-21s win was 2-1 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Everton Under-21s would win this match.