Major League Soccer

Jun 13, 2025 at 12.30am UK

Yankee Stadium

NY City
4 - 0
Atlanta

Moralez (44'), Bakrar (55'), Wolf (57', 59')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's MLS clash between New York City FC and Atlanta United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

New York City FC

All competitions

MLS Playoffs

Last Game: Nashville 2-2 NY City
Saturday, May 31 at 9.30pm in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Atlanta United

All competitions

MLS Playoffs

Last Game: NY Red Bulls 2-0 Atlanta
Sunday, June 1 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a New York City FC win with a probability of 53.36%. A win for Atlanta United has a probability of 24.24% and a draw has a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.51%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest Atlanta United win is 1-2 (6.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.28%).

Result
New York City FC	Draw	Atlanta United
53.36% ( -1.13)	22.4% ( 0.28)	24.24% ( 0.85)

Both teams to score 59.58% (

0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.93% (

-0.37)

40.07% (

0.37)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.56% (

-0.39)

62.43% (

0.39)

New York City FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.94% (

-0.5)

15.06% (

0.5)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.43% (

-0.96)

43.57% (

0.96)

Atlanta United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.15% (

0.5)

29.85% (

-0.5)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.06% (

0.6)

65.94% (

-0.6)

Score Analysis

New York City FC 53.36%

Atlanta United 24.24%

Draw 22.39%

New York City FC	Draw	Atlanta United
2-1 @ 9.74% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 8.51% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.06% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 6.15% ( -0.14) 3-0 @ 5.08% ( -0.19) 3-2 @ 3.72% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.91% ( -0.12) 4-0 @ 2.41% ( -0.13) 4-2 @ 1.76% ( -0.05) 5-1 @ 1.1% ( -0.07) 5-0 @ 0.91% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.02% Total : 53.36%	1-1 @ 10.28% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 5.89% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 4.5% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.24% Total : 22.39%	1-2 @ 6.22% ( 0.17) 0-1 @ 5.43% ( 0.17) 0-2 @ 3.29% ( 0.14) 1-3 @ 2.51% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 2.37% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.08) Other @ 3.1% Total : 24.24%