Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 6

Sep 28, 2024 at 8pm UK

Stade Louis II.

Monaco
2 - 1
Montpellier

Balogun (32'), Camara (90+8')
Vanderson (50'), Zakaria (50'), Salisu (82'), Camara (88')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Nzingoula (16')
Sagnan (4'), Coulibaly (12')
Coulibaly (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Monaco and Montpellier HSC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Monaco

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Monaco 3-1 Le Havre
Sunday, September 22 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Montpellier HSC

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Montpellier 3-2 Auxerre
Sunday, September 22 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 63.23%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 17.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.13%) and 1-0 (8.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.86%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 1-2 (4.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Monaco in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Monaco.

Result
Monaco	Draw	Montpellier HSC
63.23% ( -0.89)	19.48% ( 0.47)	17.29% ( 0.42)

Both teams to score 58.71% (

-0.86)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.91% (

-1.52)

36.08% (

1.52)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.81% (

-1.69)

58.19% (

1.69)

Monaco Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.11% (

-0.66)

10.89% (

0.66)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.97% (

-1.49)

35.03% (

1.49)

Montpellier HSC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.88% (

-0.47)

34.11% (

0.47)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.2% (

-0.51)

70.8% (

0.51)

Score Analysis

Monaco 63.23%

Montpellier HSC 17.29%

Draw 19.48%

Monaco	Draw	Montpellier HSC
2-1 @ 9.82% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 9.13% ( 0.19) 1-0 @ 8.24% ( 0.39) 3-1 @ 7.26% ( -0.15) 3-0 @ 6.75% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 4.03% ( -0.2) 3-2 @ 3.9% ( -0.13) 4-0 @ 3.74% ( -0.13) 4-2 @ 2.16% ( -0.14) 5-1 @ 1.79% ( -0.14) 5-0 @ 1.66% ( -0.11) 5-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.09) Other @ 3.79% Total : 63.23%	1-1 @ 8.86% ( 0.31) 2-2 @ 5.28% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 3.71% ( 0.27) 3-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.23% Total : 19.48%	1-2 @ 4.76% ( 0.11) 0-1 @ 3.99% ( 0.25) 0-2 @ 2.15% ( 0.11) 2-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.71% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.78% Total : 17.29%