Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 45.85%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 27.29% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (8.74%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 0-1 (9.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tranmere Rovers would win this match.
