Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 41.34%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 32.31% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.69%) and 0-2 (7.27%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 1-0 (9.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rochdale | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
| 32.31% | 26.35% | 41.34% |
| Both teams to score 52.32% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.72% | 52.27% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.03% | 73.97% |
| Rochdale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.74% | 30.26% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.57% | 66.43% |
| Tranmere Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.03% | 24.97% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.39% | 59.61% |
| Score Analysis |
| Rochdale | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 9.03% 2-1 @ 7.49% 2-0 @ 5.4% 3-1 @ 2.98% 3-0 @ 2.15% 3-2 @ 2.07% Other @ 3.19% Total : 32.31% | 1-1 @ 12.53% 0-0 @ 7.56% 2-2 @ 5.2% 3-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.35% | 0-1 @ 10.48% 1-2 @ 8.69% 0-2 @ 7.27% 1-3 @ 4.02% 0-3 @ 3.36% 2-3 @ 2.4% 1-4 @ 1.4% 0-4 @ 1.17% Other @ 2.53% Total : 41.33% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| P | Leyton Orient | 42 | 24 | 12 | 6 | 56 | 29 | 27 | 84 |
| 2 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 43 | 21 | 14 | 8 | 57 | 39 | 18 | 77 |
| 3 | Stevenage | 42 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 57 | 38 | 19 | 76 |
| 4 | Stockport CountyStockport | 43 | 20 | 12 | 11 | 60 | 36 | 24 | 72 |
| 5 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 43 | 19 | 15 | 9 | 62 | 39 | 23 | 72 |
| 6 | Bradford CityBradford | 42 | 19 | 14 | 9 | 54 | 36 | 18 | 71 |
| 7 | Salford City | 43 | 20 | 9 | 14 | 66 | 49 | 17 | 69 |
| 8 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 42 | 19 | 12 | 11 | 67 | 51 | 16 | 69 |
| 9 | BarrowBarrow | 43 | 18 | 8 | 17 | 46 | 48 | -2 | 62 |
| 10 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 43 | 15 | 12 | 16 | 43 | 49 | -6 | 57 |
| 11 | Swindon TownSwindon | 42 | 14 | 13 | 15 | 53 | 50 | 3 | 55 |
| 12 | Grimsby Town | 42 | 14 | 13 | 15 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 55 |
| 13 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 43 | 14 | 12 | 17 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 54 |
| 14 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 43 | 15 | 7 | 21 | 43 | 60 | -17 | 52 |
| 15 | Walsall | 43 | 11 | 18 | 14 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 51 |
| 16 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 41 | 12 | 15 | 14 | 41 | 51 | -10 | 51 |
| 17 | Gillingham | 43 | 13 | 12 | 18 | 32 | 45 | -13 | 51 |
| 18 | Newport CountyNewport | 42 | 12 | 14 | 16 | 44 | 49 | -5 | 50 |
| 19 | AFC Wimbledon | 43 | 11 | 14 | 18 | 46 | 53 | -7 | 47 |
| 20 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 43 | 11 | 13 | 19 | 40 | 47 | -7 | 46 |
| 21 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 42 | 10 | 15 | 17 | 52 | 61 | -9 | 45 |
| 22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 43 | 10 | 12 | 21 | 45 | 69 | -24 | 42 |
| 23 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 43 | 8 | 15 | 20 | 48 | 74 | -26 | 39 |
| 24 | Rochdale | 43 | 8 | 10 | 25 | 41 | 67 | -26 | 34 |
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