Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shamrock Rovers win with a probability of 48.31%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Derry City had a probability of 25.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shamrock Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.42%) and 1-2 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.52%), while for a Derry City win it was 1-0 (8.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shamrock Rovers would win this match.
