Nagoya Grampus 1-0 Sagan Tosu - J1 League - July 18, 2020 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

Jul 18, 2020 at 10am UK at Mizuho Athletic Stadium

Maeda (62')
Nakatani (55'), Yoshida (83')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Toyoda (55'), Alves (64')
Alves (83')

Coverage of the J1 League clash between Nagoya Grampus and Sagan Tosu.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 46.05%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 26.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.91%) and 2-1 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.73%), while for a Sagan Tosu win it was 0-1 (9.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nagoya Grampus in this match.

Result
Nagoya Grampus	Draw	Sagan Tosu
46.05%	27.08%	26.87%

Both teams to score 47.31%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.63%

57.36%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.81%

78.19%

Nagoya Grampus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.12%

24.88%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.5%

59.49%

Sagan Tosu Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.99%

37.01%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.2%

73.8%

Score Analysis

Nagoya Grampus 46.05%

Sagan Tosu 26.87%

Draw 27.08%

Nagoya Grampus	Draw	Sagan Tosu
1-0 @ 12.81% 2-0 @ 8.91% 2-1 @ 8.86% 3-0 @ 4.13% 3-1 @ 4.11% 3-2 @ 2.04% 4-0 @ 1.44% 4-1 @ 1.43% Other @ 2.33% Total : 46.05%	1-1 @ 12.73% 0-0 @ 9.21% 2-2 @ 4.4% Other @ 0.74% Total : 27.08%	0-1 @ 9.15% 1-2 @ 6.33% 0-2 @ 4.55% 1-3 @ 2.1% 0-3 @ 1.51% 2-3 @ 1.46% Other @ 1.78% Total : 26.87%