Kawasaki Frontale 3-2 Nagoya Grampus - J1 League - May 4, 2021 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

May 4, 2021 at 7am UK at Todoroki Athletics Stadium

Jesiel (31'), Yamane (50'), Maruyama (59' og.)

FT(HT: 1-0)

Inagaki (73'), Mateus (83')

Coverage of the J1 League clash between Kawasaki Frontale and Nagoya Grampus.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kawasaki Frontale win with a probability of 64.69%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Nagoya Grampus had a probability of 13.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kawasaki Frontale win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.39%) and 2-1 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.14%), while for a Nagoya Grampus win it was 0-1 (5.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kawasaki Frontale would win this match.

Result
Kawasaki Frontale	Draw	Nagoya Grampus
64.69%	21.81%	13.5%

Both teams to score 42.22%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.57%

53.43%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.04%

74.96%

Kawasaki Frontale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.12%

15.88%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.9%

45.1%

Nagoya Grampus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.19%

49.81%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.48%

84.52%

Score Analysis

Kawasaki Frontale 64.69%

Nagoya Grampus 13.5%

Draw 21.8%

Kawasaki Frontale	Draw	Nagoya Grampus
1-0 @ 14.55% 2-0 @ 13.39% 2-1 @ 9.33% 3-0 @ 8.21% 3-1 @ 5.73% 4-0 @ 3.78% 4-1 @ 2.63% 3-2 @ 2% 5-0 @ 1.39% 5-1 @ 0.97% 4-2 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.79% Total : 64.69%	1-1 @ 10.14% 0-0 @ 7.91% 2-2 @ 3.25% Other @ 0.5% Total : 21.8%	0-1 @ 5.51% 1-2 @ 3.54% 0-2 @ 1.92% Other @ 2.53% Total : 13.5%