Kawasaki Frontale 3-0 Nagoya Grampus - J1 League - October 18, 2020 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

Oct 18, 2020 at 11am UK at Todoroki Athletics Stadium

Mitoma (44'), Nakatani (57' og.), Jesiel (65')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Kanazaki (90')

Coverage of the J1 League clash between Kawasaki Frontale and Nagoya Grampus.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kawasaki Frontale win with a probability of 63.69%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Nagoya Grampus had a probability of 15.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kawasaki Frontale win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.1%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.81%), while for a Nagoya Grampus win it was 0-1 (4.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kawasaki Frontale would win this match.

Result
Kawasaki Frontale	Draw	Nagoya Grampus
63.69%	20.65%	15.65%

Both teams to score 50.85%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.37%

44.63%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.01%

66.99%

Kawasaki Frontale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.67%

13.33%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.8%

40.2%

Nagoya Grampus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.67%

41.33%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.15%

77.85%

Score Analysis

Kawasaki Frontale 63.68%

Nagoya Grampus 15.65%

Draw 20.65%

Kawasaki Frontale	Draw	Nagoya Grampus
2-0 @ 11.18% 1-0 @ 11.1% 2-1 @ 9.88% 3-0 @ 7.51% 3-1 @ 6.64% 4-0 @ 3.79% 4-1 @ 3.35% 3-2 @ 2.93% 5-0 @ 1.53% 4-2 @ 1.48% 5-1 @ 1.35% Other @ 2.95% Total : 63.68%	1-1 @ 9.81% 0-0 @ 5.51% 2-2 @ 4.37% Other @ 0.97% Total : 20.65%	0-1 @ 4.87% 1-2 @ 4.33% 0-2 @ 2.15% 2-3 @ 1.29% 1-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 1.74% Total : 15.65%