Uganda national football team
Friendlies 3 | 2nd Leg
Jun 9, 2025 at 4pm UK
Mandela National Stadium
Gambia national football team

Uganda
1 - 1
Gambia

Mato (27')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Manneh (45+1' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's International Friendlies clash between Uganda and Gambia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Uganda

All competitions
Last Game: Uganda 1-0 Guinea
Tuesday, March 25 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Next Game: Cameroon vs. Uganda
Friday, June 6 at 8pm in International Friendlies

Gambia

All competitions
Last Game: Ivory Coast 1-0 Gambia
Monday, March 24 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Next Game: Eq Guinea vs. Gambia
Friday, June 6 at 8pm in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Uganda win with a probability of 44.1%. A draw has a probability of 30.7% and a win for Gambia has a probability of 25.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Uganda win is 1-0 with a probability of 16.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.49%) and 2-1 (7.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 0-0 (14.31%), while for a Gambia win it is 0-1 (11.34%).

Result
UgandaDrawGambia
44.1% (0.442 0.44)30.68% (0.561 0.56)25.22% (-1.003 -1)
Both teams to score 37.42% (-1.845 -1.85)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
30.81% (-1.919 -1.92)69.19% (1.917 1.92)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
13.29% (-1.265 -1.27)86.72% (1.266 1.27)
Uganda Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.37% (-0.752 -0.75)31.63% (0.753 0.75)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.96% (-0.876 -0.88)68.04% (0.875 0.88)
Gambia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.73% (-2.072 -2.07)45.27% (2.072 2.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.85% (-1.69 -1.69)81.15% (1.69 1.69)
Score Analysis
    Uganda 44.1%
    Gambia 25.21%
    Draw 30.67%
UgandaDrawGambia
1-0 @ 16.48% (0.81 0.81)
2-0 @ 9.49% (0.276 0.28)
2-1 @ 7.52% (-0.213 -0.21)
3-0 @ 3.64% (0.032 0.03)
3-1 @ 2.89% (-0.143 -0.14)
3-2 @ 1.14% (-0.128 -0.13)
4-0 @ 1.05% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 44.1%
0-0 @ 14.31% (0.98 0.98)
1-1 @ 13.06% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-2 @ 2.98% (-0.265 -0.27)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 30.67%
0-1 @ 11.34% (0.15 0.15)
1-2 @ 5.18% (-0.346 -0.35)
0-2 @ 4.5% (-0.202 -0.2)
1-3 @ 1.37% (-0.178 -0.18)
0-3 @ 1.19% (-0.126 -0.13)
Other @ 1.64%
Total : 25.21%