Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 68.22%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 12.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.45%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.08%), while for a Vasco da Gama win it was 0-1 (4.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.