MX23RW : Saturday, May 6 20:03:51| >> :600:204084:204084:
Cambridge United
FA Cup | First Round Replays
Nov 15, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Abbey Stadium
Cambridge
0 - 0
Curzon Ashton

Jones (105')
FT

Hobson (91'), Hayhurst (116')
Cambridge win 4-2 on penalties
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Tuesday's FA Cup clash between Cambridge United and Curzon Ashton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cambridge 0-0 Bolton
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Brackley Town 1-0 Curzon Ashton
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in National League North

We said: Cambridge United 3-1 Curzon Ashton

Curzon Ashton were impressive when the two sides locked horns last weekend, but it is difficult to imagine a shock result occurring here. Cambridge were much-improved against Bolton in the league on Saturday and should have too much quality for their non-league opponents here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambridge United win with a probability of 52.37%. A win for Curzon Ashton had a probability of 24.24% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cambridge United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.73%) and 2-0 (8.62%). The likeliest Curzon Ashton win was 1-2 (6.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
Cambridge UnitedDrawCurzon Ashton
52.37% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08) 23.39% (0.027999999999999 0.03) 24.24% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Both teams to score 56.19% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.44% (-0.077999999999996 -0.08)44.56% (0.077999999999996 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.07% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)66.92% (0.075000000000003 0.08)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.98% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)17.02% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.85% (-0.098000000000006 -0.1)47.15% (0.1 0.1)
Curzon Ashton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.72% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)32.28% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.22%68.78% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Score Analysis
    Cambridge United 52.37%
    Curzon Ashton 24.24%
    Draw 23.38%
Cambridge UnitedDrawCurzon Ashton
2-1 @ 9.74% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-0 @ 9.73% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.62% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 5.75% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.09% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.25% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.55% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.25% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.44% (-0.006 -0.01)
5-1 @ 0.9% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 52.37%
1-1 @ 10.99% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.51% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 5.49% (0.019 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.23% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.38%
1-2 @ 6.22% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-1 @ 6.21% (0.02 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.51% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.34% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 2.08% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.32% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 24.24%

How you voted: Cambridge vs Curzon Ashton

Cambridge United
70.0%
Draw
22.5%
Curzon Ashton
7.5%
40
Head to Head
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Manchester CityMan City34264489315882
2Arsenal34246481394278
3Newcastle UnitedNewcastle331811461273465
4Manchester UnitedMan Utd3319684940963
5Liverpool35188967422562
6Tottenham HotspurSpurs35176126457757
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton32167962402255
8Aston Villa35166134643354
9Brentford35121495245750
10Fulham34136154546-145
11Chelsea34119143439-542
12Crystal Palace351010153546-1140
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves35117173050-2040
14Bournemouth35116183767-3039
15West Ham UnitedWest Ham3497183750-1334
16Leicester CityLeicester3486204659-1330
17Leeds UnitedLeeds3579194469-2530
18Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3479183062-3230
19Everton34611172752-2529
20Southampton3466222860-3224

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