MX23RW : Sunday, October 1 09:59:48| >> :600:683397:683397:
Lugano
Europa League | Playoffs | 2nd Leg
Aug 31, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Stadio di Cornaredo
Lugano
0 - 1
Union SG

Hajdari (40'), Bislimi (45')
Hajdari (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Eckert (6')
Lapoussin (38')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Lugano and Union SG, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Union SG 2-0 Lugano
Thursday, August 24 at 7.30pm in Europa League
Last Game: Union SG 2-0 Lugano
Thursday, August 24 at 7.30pm in Europa League

We said: Lugano 1-2 Union SG (Union SG win 4-1 on aggregate)

With Lugano needing to adopt a gung-ho approach in order to keep the tie alive, gaps will open up for the Union SG attackers to exploit, and playing away from their familiar stadium will not do the hosts any favours either. While Croci-Torti's side should make one of their forays forward count for something, keeping the Union SG attack at bay will surely be too tall an order, as the Belgian side put their name in the pot for the Europa League group-stage draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 39.08%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 36.11% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.21%) and 0-2 (6.07%). The likeliest Lugano win was 2-1 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Union SG would win this match.

Result
LuganoDrawUnion SG
36.11% (0.007000000000005 0.01) 24.8%39.08% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Both teams to score 58.41% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.21% (0.012 0.01)44.79% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.85% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)67.15% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Lugano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.65% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)24.35% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.25% (0.012 0.01)58.75% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Union SG Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.21% (0.0049999999999955 0)22.79% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.51% (0.0039999999999978 0)56.49% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Score Analysis
    Lugano 36.11%
    Union SG 39.08%
    Draw 24.8%
LuganoDrawUnion SG
2-1 @ 8.19% (0.0010000000000012 0)
1-0 @ 7.84% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 5.54%
3-1 @ 3.86% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.85% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 2.61% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 1.36%
4-2 @ 1.01% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 0.92% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 36.11%
1-1 @ 11.59%
2-2 @ 6.06% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-0 @ 5.55% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 1.41%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.8%
1-2 @ 8.57%
0-1 @ 8.21% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
0-2 @ 6.07% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 4.23%
0-3 @ 2.99%
2-3 @ 2.99%
1-4 @ 1.56%
0-4 @ 1.11%
2-4 @ 1.1% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 39.08%

How you voted: Lugano vs Union SG

Lugano
20.8%
Draw
20.8%
Union SG
58.5%
53
Head to Head
Aug 24, 2023 7.30pm
Playoffs 1st Leg
Union SG
2-0
Lugano
Eckert (8'), Terho (71')
Eckert (42'), Mac Allister (67'), Nilsson (90+6')

Sabbatini (76')
rhs 2.0
MLS Apple TV+ Messi promo
Today's games header
2.30pm
Falcons
@
Jags
6pm
Broncos
@
Bears
6pm
Dolphins
@
Bills
6pm
Ravens
@
Browns
6pm
Rams
@
Colts
6pm
Washington
@
Eagles
6pm
Vikings
@
Panthers
6pm
Buccaneers
@
Saints
6pm
Steelers
@
Texans
6pm
Bengals
@
Titans
9.05pm
Raiders
@
Chargers
9.25pm
Cardinals
@
49ers
9.25pm
Patriots
@
Cowboys
5.30am
Martin Etcheverry
Ruud
7am
Nishioka
Sinner
8.30am
Alcaraz
Musetti
12.30pm
Rune
Dimitrov
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Manchester CityMan City76011751218
2Tottenham HotspurSpurs7520178917
3Arsenal7520156917
4Liverpool7511167916
5Aston Villa75021811715
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton75021914515
7West Ham UnitedWest Ham74121310313
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle74031871112
9Crystal Palace732277011
10Manchester UnitedMan Utd7304711-49
11Fulham6222510-58
12Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest621379-27
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves7214813-57
14Brentford61329906
15Chelsea612356-15
16Everton7115612-64
17Luton TownLuton6114512-74
18Bournemouth7034515-103
19Burnley6015415-111
20Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd7016519-141

MLS Apple TV+ Messi promo
New Apple Music general promo - 300x250

Subscribe to our newsletter


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!