Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RKC Waalwijk win with a probability of 41.52%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 33.74% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a RKC Waalwijk win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.54%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 1-2 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
