Gremio
Brasileiro | Gameweek 12 | 2nd Leg
Jun 13, 2025 at 12am UK
Arena do Gremio
Corinthians

Gremio
vs.
Corinthians

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Brasileiro clash between Gremio and Corinthians, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gremio

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Juventude 0-2 Gremio
Sunday, June 1 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Corinthians

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Corinthians 0-0 Vitoria
Sunday, June 1 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Gremio win with a probability of 54.51%. A draw has a probability of 25.3% and a win for Corinthians has a probability of 20.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.99%) and 2-1 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.84%), while for a Corinthians win it is 0-1 (7.52%).

Result
GremioDrawCorinthians
54.51% (4.127 4.13)25.3% (-0.557 -0.56)20.19% (-3.571 -3.57)
Both teams to score 45.33% (-2.741 -2.74)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.62% (-1.351 -1.35)56.38% (1.351 1.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.6% (-1.104 -1.1)77.4% (1.102 1.1)
Gremio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.3% (1.182 1.18)20.7% (-1.183 -1.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.69% (1.829 1.83)53.31% (-1.831 -1.83)
Corinthians Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.17% (-4.373 -4.37)42.83% (4.372 4.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.85% (-3.939 -3.94)79.15% (3.938 3.94)
Score Analysis
    Gremio 54.49%
    Corinthians 20.19%
    Draw 25.3%
GremioDrawCorinthians
1-0 @ 13.96% (1.18 1.18)
2-0 @ 10.99% (1.275 1.28)
2-1 @ 9.32% (0.041 0.04)
3-0 @ 5.77% (0.853 0.85)
3-1 @ 4.9% (0.194 0.19)
4-0 @ 2.27% (0.404 0.4)
3-2 @ 2.08% (-0.171 -0.17)
4-1 @ 1.93% (0.141 0.14)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 54.49%
1-1 @ 11.84% (-0.38 -0.38)
0-0 @ 8.87% (0.45 0.45)
2-2 @ 3.95% (-0.482 -0.48)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 25.3%
0-1 @ 7.52% (-0.525 -0.53)
1-2 @ 5.02% (-0.819 -0.82)
0-2 @ 3.19% (-0.656 -0.66)
1-3 @ 1.42% (-0.441 -0.44)
2-3 @ 1.12% (-0.296 -0.3)
0-3 @ 0.9% (-0.323 -0.32)
Other @ 1.03%
Total : 20.19%

Head to Head
Dec 8, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 38
Gremio
0-3
Corinthians

Reinaldo (25'), Monsalve (90+2')
Moreira (79')
Alberto (45+1' pen.), Charles (88'), Depay (90+3')
Carrillo (54'), Souza (65'), Bidu (90+6')
Andres Martinez (79')
Aug 8, 2024 1.30am
Round of 16 2nd Leg
Gremio
0-0
Corinthians
(Aggregate 0-0 | Corinthians win 3-1 on penalties)
Kannemann (45'), Costa (71')
Caca (26'), Charles (33'), Matheuzinho (56'), Henrique (71')
> Preview
Aug 1, 2024 1.30am
Round of 16 1st Leg
Corinthians
0-0
Gremio
Ramalho (81')
Raniele (54')
Marchesin (50'), Geromel (60'), Jemerson (70')
Nunes (90+9')
> Preview
Jul 26, 2024 12am
Gameweek 19
Corinthians
2-2
Gremio
Alberto (25' pen.), Garro (87')
Caca (40')
Ely (2'), Villasanti (76')
Geromel (31'), Ely (34')
> Preview
Nov 12, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 34
Gremio
0-1
Corinthians

Villasanti (45+1'), Suarez (90+7')
Alves (81')
Romero (32')
Caetano (15'), Menezes (18'), Maycon (42'), Romero (48'), Verissimo (74'), Fagner (90+5'), Ruan (90+9')
Mendez (10')