Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leuven win with a probability of 44.44%. A win for Mechelen had a probability of 30.86% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leuven win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.12%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Mechelen win was 1-2 (7.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
