Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leuven win with a probability of 46.25%. A win for Sint-Truiden had a probability of 29.59% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leuven win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.83%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Sint-Truiden win was 1-2 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
