Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western United win with a probability of 40.09%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 33.32% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (7.07%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 1-0 (9.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.
