Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 44.41%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 30.63% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 0-1 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sydney FC | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
| 44.41% | 24.96% | 30.63% |
| Both teams to score 56.14% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53% | 47% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.75% | 69.25% |
| Sydney FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.8% | 21.2% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 45.91% | 54.09% |
| Central Coast Mariners Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.25% | 28.75% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.41% | 64.59% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sydney FC | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
| 1-0 @ 9.46% 2-1 @ 9.14% 2-0 @ 7.33% 3-1 @ 4.73% 3-0 @ 3.79% 3-2 @ 2.95% 4-1 @ 1.83% 4-0 @ 1.47% 4-2 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.57% Total : 44.41% | 1-1 @ 11.78% 0-0 @ 6.1% 2-2 @ 5.7% 3-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.96% | 0-1 @ 7.6% 1-2 @ 7.35% 0-2 @ 4.74% 1-3 @ 3.05% 2-3 @ 2.37% 0-3 @ 1.97% 1-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.62% Total : 30.63% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 16 |
| 2 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 14 |
| 3 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 12 |
| 4 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 10 |
| 5 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 10 |
| 6 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 10 |
| 7 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 10 |
| 8 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 10 |
| 9 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 9 |
| 10 | Macarthur | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
| 11 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 6 |
| 12 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 4 |
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