Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 75.46%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for IFK Mariehamn had a probability of 8.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.46%) and 3-0 (10.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.58%), while for a IFK Mariehamn win it was 0-1 (3.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that HJK Helsinki would win this match.
