MX23RW : Friday, August 12 04:23:23| >> :600:116390:116390:
Aug 12, 2021 at 5pm UK at Bolt Arena
HJK Helsinki
3 - 0
Neftchi Baku
Riski (46'), Riski (60' pen., 89')
Riski (79'), O'Shaughnessy (84')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Mbodj (60'), Harramiz (66'), Nacafov (83')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between HJK Helsinki and Neftchi Baku, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 47.76%. A win for Neftchi Baku had a probability of 27.6% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.42%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest Neftchi Baku win was 0-1 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that HJK Helsinki would win this match.

Result
HJK HelsinkiDrawNeftchi Baku
47.76%24.64%27.6%
Both teams to score 55.24%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.7%47.3%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.47%69.52%
HJK Helsinki Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.13%19.87%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.02%51.97%
Neftchi Baku Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.93%31.07%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.61%67.38%
Score Analysis
    HJK Helsinki 47.76%
    Neftchi Baku 27.6%
    Draw 24.64%
HJK HelsinkiDrawNeftchi Baku
1-0 @ 9.98%
2-1 @ 9.42%
2-0 @ 8.06%
3-1 @ 5.08%
3-0 @ 4.34%
3-2 @ 2.97%
4-1 @ 2.05%
4-0 @ 1.75%
4-2 @ 1.2%
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 47.76%
1-1 @ 11.66%
0-0 @ 6.17%
2-2 @ 5.51%
3-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.64%
0-1 @ 7.22%
1-2 @ 6.82%
0-2 @ 4.22%
1-3 @ 2.66%
2-3 @ 2.15%
0-3 @ 1.64%
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 27.6%

How you voted: HJK Helsinki vs Neftchi Baku

HJK Helsinki
85.3%
Draw
5.9%
Neftchi Baku
8.8%
68
Head to Head
Aug 3, 2021 6pm
Neftchi Baku
2-2
HJK Helsinki
Bougrine (59'), Mahmudov (80')
Nacafov (20'), Harramiz (62'), Muradbayli (84')
Riski (61'), Jair (65')
Carlos Murillo (50'), Peltola (80'), Tenho (83'), Riski (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Todays Game Header Right
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Canadian Open Quarter-Finals
5pm
Kyrgios
Hurkacz
7pm
Ruud
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11.30pm
Evans
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Canadian Open Third Round
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Monfils
Draper
2 2
6 0
(ret.)
Result
Sinner
Carreno Busta
2 4
6 6
Tables

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