Coverage of the Champions League First Qualifying Round clash between Dinamo Tbilisi and Neftchi Baku.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Neftchi Baku win with a probability of 38.25%. A win for Dinamo Tbilisi had a probability of 37.82% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Neftchi Baku win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.09%) and 0-2 (5.48%). The likeliest Dinamo Tbilisi win was 2-1 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Neftchi Baku in this match.
