MX23RW : Wednesday, July 13 00:00:02| >> :600:2057840:2057840:
Aug 27, 2020 at 5pm UK at Bakcell Arena
Neftchi Baku
2 - 1
Shkupi
Bougrine (67'), Krivotsyuk (88')
Krivotsyuk (42'), Kane (50')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Darboe (90+3')
Goudiaby (40'), Iseni (46')
Goudiaby (70')
Coverage of the Europa League First Qualifying Round clash between Neftchi Baku and Shkupi.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Neftchi Baku win with a probability of 54.47%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Shkupi had a probability of 20.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Neftchi Baku win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.57%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.7%), while for a Shkupi win it was 0-1 (7.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Neftchi Baku would win this match.

Result
Neftchi BakuDrawShkupi
54.47%24.75%20.78%
Both teams to score 47.66%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.28%53.73%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.79%75.21%
Neftchi Baku Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.33%19.67%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.34%51.66%
Shkupi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.33%40.67%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.74%77.27%
Score Analysis
    Neftchi Baku 54.47%
    Shkupi 20.78%
    Draw 24.75%
Neftchi BakuDrawShkupi
1-0 @ 13.01%
2-0 @ 10.57%
2-1 @ 9.52%
3-0 @ 5.73%
3-1 @ 5.16%
4-0 @ 2.33%
3-2 @ 2.32%
4-1 @ 2.1%
4-2 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 54.47%
1-1 @ 11.7%
0-0 @ 8%
2-2 @ 4.28%
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 24.75%
0-1 @ 7.2%
1-2 @ 5.26%
0-2 @ 3.24%
1-3 @ 1.58%
2-3 @ 1.28%
0-3 @ 0.97%
Other @ 1.25%
Total : 20.78%


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