Connah's Quay
0 - 1
Dinamo Tbilisi
FT(HT: 0-0)
Gabedava (90+7' pen.)
Zaria (46'), Kimadze (64')
Zaria (46'), Kimadze (64')
Coverage of the Europa League Second Qualifying Round clash between Connah's Quay Nomads and Dinamo Tbilisi.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dinamo Tbilisi win with a probability of 44.82%. A win for Connah's Quay Nomads had a probability of 34.24% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dinamo Tbilisi win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.55%) and 2-3 (4.98%). The likeliest Connah's Quay Nomads win was 2-1 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dinamo Tbilisi would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Connah's Quay Nomads | Draw | Dinamo Tbilisi |
| 34.24% | 20.94% | 44.82% |
| Both teams to score 72.82% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
